The Role of the Labor Market in Ensuring the Sustainability of the Pension System
| dc.contributor.author | Hedvicakova, Martina | |
| dc.contributor.author | Karlova, Tereza | |
| dc.contributor.other | Ekonomická fakulta | cs |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2025-10-02T10:24:23Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2025-10-02T10:24:23Z | |
| dc.description.abstract | The sustainability of the pension system is a key fiscal and social challenge that is exacerbated in the Czech Republic and other developed countries by demographic trends such as population aging, declining birth rates, and increasing life expectancy. These factors are putting increasing pressure on public finances and calling into question the stability of pay-as-you-go financing. The aim of this article is to comprehensively analyze the role of the labor market in ensuring the sustainability of the pension system and to identify key variables and their interrelationships. The analysis uses system dynamics methodology and a causal loop diagram (CLD) created in Stella Professional software. This diagram visualizes the complex system dynamics and feedback loops between key variables such as the number of workers, retirement age, system revenues and expenditures, and the influence of external factors. The results show that the sustainability of the system depends on a fragile balance that can be influenced by political interventions aimed at adapting the labor market. These include measures to support the employment of older workers and incentives to stay in employment longer. It is also crucial for long-term stability to take into account new trends such as flexible forms of employment, migration, and the impact of automation. Furthermore, it is necessary to emphasize the social acceptability of reforms and their accompanying measures in order to ensure not only financial stability but also intergenerational fairness and political acceptance. | en |
| dc.format | text | |
| dc.identifier.doi | 10.15240/tul/009/lef-2025-04 | |
| dc.identifier.isbn | 978-80-7494-747-6 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://dspace.tul.cz/handle/15240/178026 | |
| dc.language.iso | en | |
| dc.publisher | Technická Univerzita v Liberci | cs |
| dc.publisher | Technical university of Liberec, Czech Republic | en |
| dc.publisher.abbreviation | TUL | |
| dc.relation.isbasedon | BARR, N. A. (2012). Economics of the welfare state (5. ed). Oxford Univ. Press. BLOOM, D. E., CANNING, D., & FINK, G. (2010). Implications of population ageing for economic growth. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 26(4), 583–612. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/grq038 BLOOM, D. E., CANNING, D., & MOORE, M. (2014). Optimal Retirement with Increasing Longevity. The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 116(3), 838–858. https://doi.org/10.1111/sjoe.12060 BLUNDELL, R., FRENCH, E., & TETLOW, G. (2016). Retirement Incentives and Labor Supply. In Handbook of the Economics of Population Aging (1, p. 457–566). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/bs.hespa.2016.10.001 BOLDRIN, M., & MONTES, A. (2009). Assessing the efficiency of public education and pensions. Journal of Population Economics, 22(2), 285–309. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-007-0178-z BÖRSCH‐SUPAN, A., LUDWIG, A., & WINTER, J. (2006). Ageing, Pension Reform and Capital Flows: A Multi‐Country Simulation Model. Economica, 73(292), 625–658. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0335.2006.00526.x BÖRSCH-SUPAN, A., RAUSCH, J., & GOLL, N. (2020). Social Security Reforms and the Changing Retirement Behavior in Germany (No. w27518; s. w27518). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27518 DE LA FUENTE, A., & DOMÉNECH, R. (2013). The financial impact of Spanish pension reform: A quick estimate. Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, 12(1), 111–137. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1474747212000182 EGGLESTON, K. N., & MUKHERJEE, A. (2019). Financing longevity: The economics of pensions, health, and long-term care: Introduction to the special issue. The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, 13, 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeoa.2018.10.001 FANTI, L., & GORI, L. (2010). Increasing PAYG pension benefits and reducing contribution rates. Economics Letters, 107(2), 81–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2009.01.001 FOUGÈRE, M., & MÉRETTE, M. (1999). Population ageing and economic growth in seven OECD countries. Economic Modelling, 16(3), 411–427. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0264-9993(99)00008-5 CHYBALSKI, F. (2016). The Multidimensional Efficiency of Pension System: Definition and Measurement in Cross-Country Studies. Social Indicators Research, 128(1), 15–34. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-015-1017-3 CHYBALSKI, F., & MARCINKIEWICZ, E. (2016). The Replacement Rate: An Imperfect Indicator of Pension Adequacy in Cross-Country Analyses. Social Indicators Research, 126(1), 99–117. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-015-0892-y IMF. (2025, 6). International monetary fund. https://www.imf.org/en/Home İMROHOROGLU, A., İMROHOROGLU, S., & JOINES, D. H. (1995). A life cycle analysis of social security. Economic Theory, 6(1), 83–114. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01213942 ISEE systems. (2025). Stella® Professional [Software]. https://www.iseesystems.com/store/products/stella-professional.aspx KARLOVÁ, T. (2025, duben). Analýza vlivu vládních opatření na důchodový systém v ČR (UHK, FIM). diplomová práce. KRPAN, M., PAVKOVIĆ, A., & KEDŽO, M. G. (2022). Sustainability assessment of pension systems of new EU member states using data envelopment analysis with sensitivity and cross-efficiency analysis. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 35(1), 6648–6666. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2022.2052335 MAO, H., OSTASZEWSKI, K. M., & WANG, Y. (2014). Optimal retirement age, leisure and consumption. Economic Modelling, 43, 458–464. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2014.09.002 OECD. (2023). Pensions at a Glance 2023: OECD and G20 Indicators. OECD. https://doi.org/10.1787/678055dd-en PEKSEVIM, S., & ERCAN, M. (2024). Do pension funds provide financial stability? Evidence from European Union countries. Journal of Financial Services Research, 66(3), 297–328. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10693-023-00408-4 RAZIN, A., & SADKA, E. (1999). Migration and pension with international capital mobility. Journal of Public Economics, 74(1), 141–150. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0047-2727(99)00038-9 SKUFLIC, L., PAVKOVIC, A., & KRPAN, M. (2020). Public Pension Expenditure in the New EU Member States: A Panel Data Approach. Czech Journal of Economics and Finance, 70(3), 216–243. https://doi.org/10.32065/cjef.2020.03.02 STERMAN, J. D. (2000). Business dynamics: Systems thinking and modeling for a complex world. Irwin/McGraw-Hill. VALLS MARTÍNEZ, M. D. C., SANTOS-JAÉN, J. M., AMIN, F., & MARTÍN-CERVANTES, P. A. (2021). Pensions, Ageing and Social Security Research: Literature Review and Global Trends. Mathematics, 9(24), 3258. https://doi.org/10.3390/math9243258 | |
| dc.relation.ispartof | Liberecké ekonomické fórum 2025 | cs |
| dc.relation.ispartof | Liberec Economic Forum 2025 | en |
| dc.subject | Causal Loop Diagram | en |
| dc.subject | Stella | en |
| dc.subject | Expenditures | en |
| dc.subject | Labor Market | en |
| dc.subject | Pension System | en |
| dc.subject.classification | H55 | |
| dc.subject.classification | J26 | |
| dc.subject.classification | J14 | |
| dc.subject.classification | C63 | |
| dc.title | The Role of the Labor Market in Ensuring the Sustainability of the Pension System | en |
| dc.type | proceeding paper | en |
| local.access | open | |
| local.citation.epage | 60 | |
| local.citation.spage | 53 | |
| local.faculty | Faculty of Economics | |
| local.fulltext | yes | |
| local.relation.abbreviation | LEF | cs |
| local.relation.abbreviation | LEF | en |
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